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Democrats prepare probes of Trump’s diesel deal as Trump-tied crypto and prediction-market firms hire lawyers

Companies linked to the president are readying defences as Republican midterm hopes slip, while senators tell banks and ports to keep records on Russian diesel.

October 26, 2026Morning edition5 outlets Assembled by machine

Watercolour landscape whose skyline traces bitcoin in dollars, 2010 to 2026, on a log scale.
Bitcoin, 2010 to 2026

Companies linked to President Trump are readying defences as Republican hopes for the midterms slip away1. Firms including Polymarket, Kalshi and Vulcan Elements Inc., as well as Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, are hiring lawyers and lobbyists in anticipation of congressional probes3.

The group includes World Liberty Financial and 1789 Capital, a venture firm tied to Donald Trump Jr.1. Binance took a stake in Circle in September, and Zhao, Binance’s former chief executive and biggest owner, was pardoned by Trump after he pleaded guilty2.

Separately, top Democrats poised for powerful roles next year are demanding that major banks and ports preserve any records tied to potential imports or other deals involving Russian diesel4. A letter they sent states that any importation of Russian diesel into the United States raises significant legal questions and may be subject to legal action, as well as congressional investigations4. Its signatories include Senator Chris Coons of Delaware4.

Why it matters to investors

Probing Trump’s agreement with Moscow will be a priority if Democrats regain control of either or both chambers of Congress4. The record-keeping demand shows that inquiries will extend beyond the White House and into corporate boardrooms4. Banks and port operators that handle Russian diesel are now on notice4.

For crypto and prediction markets, the risk is investigative and legal. A Circle shareholder has sued Trump, World Liberty Financial and Steve Witkoff over crypto deals5. The plaintiff is seeking the return of allegedly unlawfully obtained proceeds, and World Liberty Financial has rejected the allegations6.

The circle of exposure is wide. Binance, whose founder Trump pardoned, took a stake in Circle in September2, and a Circle shareholder is now suing the president’s crypto venture5. The firms are bracing for congressional probes that would follow Republican losses in the midterms3, and World Liberty Financial is among the companies preparing1.

What to watch

The midterm result decides whether these preparations turn into subpoenas: probes are tied to Democrats winning one or both chambers3,4.

Watch for which banks and ports confirm they hold records on Russian diesel4, for progress in the Circle shareholder lawsuit5,6, and for further hiring of lawyers and lobbyists by firms such as Polymarket and Kalshi3.

Sources

  1. Trump-Tied Companies Ready Defenses With GOP Midterm Hopes Slipping Away, bloomberg.com (2026-10-26)
  2. Trump -Tied Companies Ready Defenses With GOP Midterm Hopes Slipping Away, bloomberg.com (2026-10-26)
  3. Trump -linked firms brace for possible congressional probes after midterm losses, tradersunion.com (2026-10-26)
  4. Exclusive: Democrats lay groundwork to probe Trump’s diesel deal, axios.com (2026-10-26)
  5. Circle Shareholder Sues Trump, World Liberty and Steve Witkoff Over Crypto Deals?, kalkine.co.in (2026-10-25)
  6. Weekly: $68,000 stolen from a Ukrainian in Trust Wallet, Circle lawsuit against Trump over ..., incrypted.com (2026-10-25)

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